Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.003607 0.003786 0.003970 0.004173 0.004390 0.004615 0.004868
2025-07-27 0.003267 0.003531 0.003813 0.004136 0.004499 0.004894 0.005359
2025-08-03 0.003054 0.003365 0.003706 0.004109 0.004575 0.005099 0.005739
2025-08-10 0.002888 0.003231 0.003614 0.004078 0.004627 0.005263 0.006063
2025-08-17 0.002807 0.003184 0.003613 0.004143 0.004786 0.005549 0.006537
2025-08-24 0.002697 0.003093 0.003552 0.004128 0.004842 0.005708 0.006856
2025-08-31 0.002593 0.003004 0.003486 0.004101 0.004876 0.005835 0.007137
2025-09-07 0.002489 0.002908 0.003405 0.004050 0.004874 0.005913 0.007351
2025-09-14 0.002393 0.002817 0.003327 0.003995 0.004863 0.005974 0.007543
2025-09-21 0.002333 0.002769 0.003298 0.004001 0.004927 0.006133 0.007871
2025-09-28 0.002222 0.002651 0.003177 0.003882 0.004821 0.006060 0.007873
2025-10-05 0.002169 0.002606 0.003146 0.003878 0.004866 0.006189 0.008162
2025-10-12 0.002142 0.002593 0.003157 0.003930 0.004990 0.006434 0.008634
2025-10-19 0.002081 0.002533 0.003104 0.003895 0.004992 0.006508 0.008858
2025-10-26 0.002027 0.002482 0.003061 0.003870 0.005006 0.006598 0.009108
2025-11-02 0.001975 0.002431 0.003016 0.003841 0.005012 0.006676 0.009343
2025-11-09 0.001960 0.002429 0.003036 0.003901 0.005147 0.006945 0.009890
2025-11-16 0.001919 0.002390 0.003004 0.003888 0.005173 0.007055 0.010188
2025-11-23 0.001876 0.002347 0.002965 0.003863 0.005182 0.007135 0.010442
2025-11-30 0.001826 0.002294 0.002912 0.003815 0.005154 0.007159 0.010601
2025-12-07 0.001778 0.002242 0.002858 0.003765 0.005120 0.007171 0.010739
2025-12-14 0.001751 0.002219 0.002843 0.003770 0.005170 0.007314 0.011109
2025-12-21 0.001687 0.002142 0.002752 0.003661 0.005041 0.007169 0.010967